Influenza Virus Mashup

Influenza Virus Mashup

Archive for January, 2010

[Avian Flu Diary] EuroFlu Report Week 52

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

(Sat, 02 Jan 2010 13:25:00 +0000)

 

 

# 4209

 

 

The World Health Organization (WHO) produces a weekly summary of influenza activity in Europe called EuroFlu.   The WHO describes the project this way:

 

 

WHO/Europe influenza surveillance
(EuroFlu.org)

On this web site, WHO/Europe collects and presents data on influenza submitted by the Member States in the WHO European Region.

This regional surveillance aims to help reduce influenza morbidity and mortality in the Region by:

  • collecting and exchanging timely information;
  • contributing to the annual determination of vaccine content;
  • providing relevant information to health professionals and the general public; and
  • contributing to the response to the pandemic (H1N1) 2009.

Clinicians, epidemiologists and virologists in the 53 countries in the WHO European Region constitute the network reporting to EuroFlu. The laboratory network consists of WHO-recognized national influenza centres, a WHO collaborating centre for reference and research on influenza and two WHO H5 reference laboratories.

 

WHO/Europe publishes a weekly surveillance report in English and Russian, which is based on data covering the Region’s total population of 883 million.

 

You’ll find weekly reports going back to week 40 of 2009 archived on this webpage.   A hat tip to Ironorehopper on FluTrackers for this link.

The latest report, dated January 1st 2010, is for week 52 of 2009.  Perhaps most surprising is the high percentage of samples that tested positive for Influenza A (33%).   

 

This is nearly 9 times the rate that the US and Canada reported last week (3.9% and 3.7% respectively).

 

Tamiflu (oseltamivir) resistant viruses continue to be detected at a low rate, with 26 of 1312 samples (just under 2%) testing positive for the H275Y mutation. 

 

A few excerpts from the report.

 

 

Ongoing influenza activity with a high intensity in parts of central and southern Europe
Key points: week 52/2009

  • This report is based on data received from 39 of the 53 Member States in the WHO European Region.
  • Thirty-three per cent of specimens collected from sentinel sources tested positive for influenza virus.
  • The incidence of clinical respiratory illness has decreased over the past three weeks in 16 reporting countries.
  • Influenza transmission remains high in some areas, particularly in the central and southern part of the Region.
  • Out of 12 countries that reported testing at least 20 sentinel specimens for influenza this week, five reported that 30% of specimens or more had tested positive for influenza.
  • Four countries reported high intensity of influenza activity, with six reporting moderate impact on health services.
  • Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 was dominant in 27 countries and accounted 100% of influenza A virus subtype detections in sentinel specimens and 97% of detections in non-sentinel specimens.
  • 2555 laboratory confirmed pandemic (H1N1) 2009 deaths have been reported in the Region.

Virological update: week 52/2009

Sentinel physicians collected 942 respiratory specimens this week, of which 312 (33%) were positive for influenza virus. Of these virus detections, 312 (100%) were type A (300 pandemic A(H1), 12 not subtyped). Of the 13 countries testing 20 or more sentinel specimens this week, influenza-positive rates ranged from 0% (Hungary) to 72% (Greece), with a median of 36% and a mean of 34%.

 

Based on the antigenic characterization of 799 influenza viruses reported from week 40/2009 to week 52/2009, 792 were pandemic A(H1N1), A/California/7/2009-like, 3 were A/Perth/16/2009 (H3N2)-like, 2 were A(H3) A/Brisbane/10/2007 (H3N2)-like, 1 was A/Brisbane/59/2007 (H1N1)-like, and 1 was B/Brisbane/60/2008-like. Genetic characterizations were available for 252 isolates; all belonged to the A/California/7/2009 A(H1N1) pandemic influenza lineage.

 

Ten countries have tested isolates of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus for oseltamivir resistance. Of the 1312 cases tested, 26 were resistant to oseltamivir. All viruses tested for resistance to zanamivir (346/346) have been found to be zanamivir-sensitive and all viruses tested for resistance to adamantanes (64/64) have been found to be resistant. This week the Netherlands reported that one additional patient was retrospectively diagnosed with a monopopulation of H275Y oseltamivir resistant virus. This patient did not receive oseltamivir therapy and the epidemiological investigation is ongoing.

 
Comment

Sentinel surveillance systems throughout the Region suggest that influenza activity remains ongoing, and a high intensity of activity continues in parts of central and southern Europe. The percentage of sentinel specimens testing positive for influenza in the Region was 33% during week 52/2009. While this is lower than the peak of 45% that was reached during week 45/2009, this should be interpreted with caution as clinical consultation rates and the testing of sentinel specimens may be impacted by the holiday season.

 

image

 

Map

The map presents the qualitative indicators of influenza activity (intensity, trend, geographical spread and impact) and the dominant virus as assessed by each of the countries.

[Pandemic Flu Central] Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 — WHO Update 81

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

As of 27 Dec 2009, worldwide more than 208 countries and overseas
territories or communities have reported laboratory confirmed cases
of pandemic influenza H1N1 2009, including at least 12 220 deaths.

WHO is actively monitoring the progress of the pandemic through
frequent consultations with the WHO Regional Offices and member
states and through monitoring of multiple sources of data.

snip

The most active areas of pandemic influenza transmission currently
are in central and eastern Europe. Focal increases in rates of
ILI/ARI [influenza-like illness/acute respiratory tract infection]
during recent weeks were reported in at least 3 eastern European
countries, Georgia, Montenegro, and Ukraine.

A high intensity of respiratory diseases activity with concurrent
circulation of pandemic influenza persists in parts of southern and
eastern Europe, particularly in Greece, Poland, Bulgaria, Serbia,
Ukraine, and the Urals Region of the Russian Federation.

continued

http://apex.oracle.com/pls/otn/f?p=2400:1001:2965398679913610::NO::F2400_P1001_BACK_PAGE,F2400_P1001_PUB_MAIL_ID:1000,80712

Algeria
• Swine flu: 5 new deaths, 746 cases confirmed in Algeria (Link)

India
• Mysterious disease claims eight lives in Uttar Pradesh (Link)
• New Delhi: Two swine flu deaths in Delhi, toll 72 (Link)

Indonesia
• Riau: 4yo suspected of bird flu (Link)

Romania
• 54 more H1N1 flu cases and five deaths over past 24 hrs (Link)

United Kingdom
• ’Healthy’ girl, 15, died from series of heart attacks after being sent home from hospital with ‘flu’ (Link)
• Scotland: Swine flu cases increase by 15% (Link)
• 28th swine flu death in Wales (Link)

United States
• IL: Illinois reports 4 new deaths from swine flu (Link)

(Sat, 02 Jan 2010 06:25:59 -0500)

I’ve noticed that whenever I have the temerity to suggest (e.g., here and here) that maybe the word of the Cochrane Collaboration isn’t quite the “last word” on the subject and indeed might be seriously flowed, I hear from commenters and see on other sites quelle horreur reactions and implications this blogger doesn’t believe in the scientific method. Why? Because “everyone knows” that a randomized controlled trial (RCT) automatically beats out any other kind of medical evidence and any Cochrane review that systematically summarizes extant RCTs on a subject like flu vaccines is therefore a highly reliable source of evidence. In the spirit of full disclosure, I am an academic epidemiologist who has made a living out of doing observational studies, i.e., studies where I don’t get to assign the independent variable, much less randomize. I can only “observe” the outcomes (the dependent variable) and infer causal effects from my observations. That might explain why I am over sensitive to the prevalent worship of meta-analyses of RCTs as practiced by the Cochrane collaborators. Or maybe I am just blinded (or even double-blinded) by what I do and my ignorance of scientific method.

So I’d like to try something with my readership. It’s not an “experiment” in the formal sense, just tossing something out there as “shark bait” to see what happens. I’m going to describe a fictitious observational study and I’d like you, the readers, to tell me why it isn’t something that should form a reliable basis for taking some action (e.g., treating someone). In a later post I’ll respond or at least tell you the point of the example (which, while fictitious, represents actual practice in some quarters of clinical medicine).

Here’s the set-up:

Read the rest of this post… | Read the comments on this post…

[Crof's H5N1] Ireland: H1N1 death rate one of highest in Europe

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

Via the Irish IndependentSwine flu death rate here one of highest in Europe. Excerpt:

The death toll here from swine flu is disproportionately high compared with other European states. 

A total of 22 people have died here as a result of the virus, putting Ireland 12th in Europe for fatalities. In contrast, the Netherlands, with a population of more than 16.5 million people, has had just 52 deaths. 

A table, covering 29 countries, was released by the the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

It sets out the number of reported deaths up to Christmas Eve from the pandemic virus that caused a worldwide alert last year. 

It comes as the Department of Health has reported no new deaths from swine flu in the Republic over Christmas, during which time the spread of the disease fell significantly, affecting 1,034 people compared with more than 2,000 the previous week.

[Flu Wiki Forum] News Reports for January 2, 2010

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

(Sat, 02 Jan 2010 04:32:55 GMT)

Reminder: Please do not post whole articles, just snippets and links. Thanks!!

Cambodia

?  Bird flu (H5N1) strikes again (Link)

China

?  Pig sample tests positive for H1N1 (Link)

India

?  Six more swine flu deaths in Gujarat (Link)

Vietnam

?  Bird flu (H5N1) sweeps through SE Asia (Link)

United States

?  U.S. reaction to swine flu: apt, timely and lucky (Link)

General

?  20p lozenge could fight all colds and flu  (Link)

Commentary

?  Recombinomics: H1N1 D225G and D225N in Russian Cases Near Ukraine (Link)



?  H (Link)

News for January 1, 2010 is here.

US Influenza-Like Illness Reports
Week ending Dec. 26, 2009

Influenza-Like Illness Reports for England & Wales

Week ending Dec 20, 2009




Thanks to all of the newshounds!
Special thanks to the newshound volunteers who translate international stories - thanks for keeping us all informed!

Other useful links:

CDC A(H1N1) Site

WHO A(H1N1) Site

WHO H5N1 human case totals, last updated December 30, 2009
Charts and Graphs on H5N1 from WHO
Google Flu Trends (U.S.)
CDC Weekly Influenza Summary
Map of seasonal influenza in the U.S.
CIDPC (Canada) Weekly FluWatch
European CDC Influenza News
UK RCGP Weekly Data on Communicable and Respiratory Diseases
Flu Wiki Main Page

[Crof's H5N1] Cambodia: B2B H5N1 is back

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

Via Meat Trade News DailyCambodia - Bird flu strikes again.

The Cambodian veterinary authority has sent an Immediate Notification dated 28 December to the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE). 

The report describes a new outbreak of HPAI[highly pathogenic avian influenza] in a village poultry flock of 1,216 birds in La-ak in the province of Kg. Cham, which is in the south-east of the country, near to the border with Viet Nam. 

The disease broke out on 16 December. In all, 143 birds died and the rest were destroyed.
According to the report, the affected population were backyard poultry comprising 1,012 chickens and 204 ducks. Of the birds culled, 751 were chickens and 124 were ducks. 

The presence of the H5N1 sub-type of the virus has been confirmed.

The last case of HPAI in the country was in December 2008.

And the last case of human H5N1 was reported by WHO on December 18. The man is a resident of Kampong Cham province, where this poultry outbreak occurred.

[Crof's H5N1] Pakistan: Karachi reports 4 new H1N1 cases

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

Via Pakistan Times.net: 4 more Swine flu cases reported, Karachi toll 76. Excerpt:

Four more cases of Swine flu have been reported in Karachi, increasing the total number of affected patients to 76. 

However, only two patients are currently getting treatment in hospital. 

According to the data released by Swine Flu Cell of the Sindh Health Department, four more patients have tested positive. So far six people have died of Swine flu in the city.

Via The NationMinistry admits errors in tackling swine flu. Excerpt:

The Public Health Ministry has accepted that it made mistakes in its handling of the type-A (H1N1) flu outbreak, admitting that it failed to deliver a clear message and left people confused about the preventive measures against the virus that claimed 191 lives. 

“The ministry failed to create confidence among people over its measures against the flu outbreak and the people were confused by its messages to cope with the pandemic,” Dr Kamnuan Ungchoosak, a senior health expert at the Disease Control Department, told The Nation. 

Since the type-A (H1N1) virus hit the country last May, the ministry had consistently told people that the virus was not more virulent than the seasonal flu. 

As a result of this message, people became complacent and thought that no one would die after infection. But in medical terms the message meant that the mortality rate was less than 1 per cent and some ill people could die if infected. 

So, when the ministry reported the first deaths from the new flu, people no longer believed in its preventive measures. 

“We have learned that next time we should tell the public that the virus is virulent rather than saying the virus is not virulent,” Kamnuan said. 

The public also did not trust the ministry after it reported that a group of Thai students, who had returned from Mexico, were free of the virus. However, laboratory tests showed they had contracted the new flu. 

The ministry also failed to immediately report the first death to the public. This failure raised doubts in the minds of the public that the Public Health Ministry was hiding the truth.

[Crof's H5N1] Egypt: Vaccine for pregnant women due soon

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

Via Daily News EgyptH1N1 vaccine for pregnant women due soon.

An H1N1 vaccine for pregnant women is due to arrive in Egypt within three weeks, Amr Kandil, deputy minister of health for precautionary measures, said. 

Pregnant women have counted for 18 percent of the total number of swine flu deaths in Egypt, Kandil said in a statement, and the only preventive measure against this virus is the vaccine. 

The ministry also announced that starting Jan. 3, elementary school students in Alexandria will be vaccinated against the H1N1 virus. 

The Ministry of Health announced Wednesday seven more swine flu deaths, raising Egypt’s toll to 136. 

Minister of Health Hatem El-Gabaly previously said that the death toll from the H1N1 virus is expected to rise in January and February. 

Meanwhile, Kuwait News Agency reports five more Egyptian H1N1 deaths, bringing the total to 141.

[Crof's H5N1] Vietnam: Flu cases falling

Posted by Automator On January - 2 - 2010

Via Vietnamnet Bridge: First-time reduction in A/H1N1 cases. Excerpt:

Contrary to forecasts, A/H1N1 epidemic reached a standstill in November and December 2009. Both the number of new cases and the number of deaths declined, reported Deputy Minister of Health Trinh Quan Huan on December 30. 

Of 46 samples tested at the Central Institute for Epidemiology last week, only 29 were positive for the flu. This accounts for 63 percent, compared to over 90 percent previously. The number of people going to the institute for flu examination also declined. 

In August and September, experts predicted that A/H1N1 virus would boom in the winter months. But in fact, it has done the opposite. The number of new cases in some countries felt by 50-60 percent and it is the same for Vietnam, revealed Huan. 

Experts have yet to explain this recent trend, so Huan has asked the Central Institute for Epidemiology to file a report and make a forecast for the coming months. 

The Department for Preventive Medicine and the Environment has reported one more death from A/H1N1 influenza, raising the total death toll in Vietnam to 53. The latest fatality was a 64-year old man from Hung Yen province.