Influenza Virus Mashup

Influenza Virus Mashup

Archive for December, 2009

[Crof's H5N1] India: Is B2B H5N1 back in West Bengal?

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via Indian Express.com: Bird flu scare returns in Bengal village. Excerpt:

West Bengal is again in the grip of bird flu or avian influenza scare. 

More than 2,000 birds, including domestic poultry, were found dead in the remote village of Durmoth at Mongolkot in Burdwan district, prompting the state animal resources development department to send a team to collect samples. The result will be announced within the next few days. 

The district administration has started an awareness campaign in the village, which was one of the areas hit when bird flu broke out in January 2008. 

At that time the state had incurred a loss of Rs 500 crore [US$107.3 million] and 4 million birds had to be culled. Thirteen districts were hit by the bird flu menace at that time.

A crore is an Indian term for 10 million. So although a rupee is worth only about 2 cents, a crore here and a crore there, and pretty soon you’re talking real money. While some people dismiss H5N1 because it’s killed so few people, its economic impact on Asia’s poultry industries has been catastrophic.

[Crof's H5N1] Japan: Stockpiled bird flu vaccine expires

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via The Mainichi Daily News: 5 billion yen in stockpiled flu vaccines expire. Excerpt:

Vaccines for 10 million people that the government had been storing in preparation for a bird flu pandemic have gone past their expiry date, it has been learned. 

The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare had been considering giving the vaccines to people working in the medical field this fiscal year, but while officials were busy handling the outbreak of the new H1N1 strain of influenza, the roughly three-year storage period of the bird flu vaccines expired. The 10 million vaccines came at a cost of about 5 billion yen [US$54,363,000]. 

Medical officials have pointed out the danger of bird flu influenza developing in to a new type of influenza. They are now calling for debate on the production and stockpiling of vaccines. 

A total of 445 people have been infected with the powerful H5N1 bird flu strain worldwide since 1997, when a death was reported in Hong Kong. Of these, 263 people, or about 60 percent have died, and the World Health Organization has expressed concern that the influenza could mutate into a new strain. 

The Japanese government has also promoted measures to prevent infections from spreading, and every year from fiscal 2006 it has produced vaccines for 10 million people, altogether storing enough for 30 million people.

Better to have it and not need it than to need it and not have it.

[Crof's H5N1] ECDC: Daily update

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

The European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention has moved its pandemic page, and I’ve changed the link in the H1N1 Resources list. Here’s where you can find the Daily update on the 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic. The summary for today:

•United States reports for the week 50 a continued decrease of influenza activity. Also visits to doctors for influenza-like illness, flu-associated hospitalizations, and flu-associated deaths all declined from the previous week. In week fifty there have been 9 deaths in children attributed to influenza bringing the total to 221 since late August.

The seventh Harvard pandemic survey has found that immunisation uptake in the United States has increased substantially recently, especially in children among whom it is estimated that 38% have now been immunised. Just over half of Adults state they do not intend to be immunised and 35% of parents stated they did not intend to have their children immunised.

A total of 1 832 fatal cases in Europe and EFTA countries and 10 944 in the rest of the world have been reported up to date.


Via the Calgary SunMessage breakdown over H1N1 concern for WHO.  Excerpt:

For the director general of the World Health Organization, the best news of the decade is the fact that the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century is a moderate — some would even call it mild — one. 

Still, that lucky break, disease-wise, has created a communications challenge for those in public health in general and the WHO in particular, Dr. Margaret Chan acknowledged yesterday.

I posted this report earlier today, then deleted it when I saw that the Globe and Mail had a longer version. But then I couldn’t find the Globe story on its website! When I do find it, I’ll link to it here.

Update: A big thank-you to Mike Coston at Avian Flu Diary who found the full interview at AM1150.ca in Kelowna, BC.

[Avian Flu Diary] Why They Call It A Medium

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

(Tue, 29 Dec 2009 15:49:00 +0000)

 

 

# 4199

 

 

A recurring theme of this blog has been the lack of responsibility shown by a great many Internet (and sometime mainstream) media outlets when it comes to `reporting’ on influenza, emerging infectious diseases, pandemics, or just science in general.

 

Controversy sells.  And on the Internet, there is little accountability.  

 

You can say just about anything, and get away with it. 

 

What you often end up with are thousands of P.T. Barnum wannabes, selling junk science, conspiracy theories, and thinly veiled agenda’s to a gullible and receptive public.

 

In September, the big story promoted by many of these fringe sites was the `untested and dangerous vaccine’  that we would soon all be forced to take.   Of course, we’ve not seen the predicted carnage from the vaccine, and last time I checked, no one has been strapped down and forcibly injected with deadly nano-particles.

 

No matter, there’s always next time.

 

There are websites devoted to the idea that the WHO, the UN, the Bilderbergers, Big Pharma, and others are behind the `release’ of H1N1, and that bird flu is next on their list.  

 

Pandemic paranoia has practically become a cottage industry on the Internet.

 

In late October and early November, hundreds of websites carried lurid reports of `pneumonic plague’ in Ukraine. Facebook, Youtube, and Twitter were alive with stories, videos, and tweets of patients dying from `burnt lungs’, and the of aerial spraying of biological agents  (see Ukraine And The Internet Rumor Mill).

 

The only problem is . . .  these (and other) stories were about 10% fact liberally mixed with about 90% fiction.

 

Once these stories had run their course, they were replaced by the dreaded Norway Mutation story, which was played to full effect by many of these same sites.  

Was there a story in Ukraine?  

 

Sure. 

 

But the truth wasn’t nearly as prurient or exciting to the general public as the fictionalize version being peddled by certain factions of the `new media’. And so the tabloid version of events blotted out most of the serious coverage.  

 

The Norway Mutation story is of considerable scientific interest, and may yet turn out to be important in this pandemic.  But right now the science doesn’t support the wilder assertions of a `killer mutation’ on the loose around the world.

 

You wouldn’t know that by much of the coverage online.

 

 

Of course, it would be unfair to paint the entire Internet with the same brush.

 

While badly outnumbered by purveyors of pseudoscientific poppycock, there are a great many serious, science-rooted, and sane web sites devoted to accurate reporting and reasonable commentary.

 

 

You’ll find a large number of reliable flu sources listed in my essay, Reliable Sources In Flublogia.

 

 

Today,  Helen Branswell of the Canadian Press has an interview with Director General Margaret Chan of the WHO about the communications challenges they have faced when dealing with the media, new and otherwise.

 

 

H1N1 pandemic poses big communications challenge for global health agency: Chan

 

By: Helen Branswell, Medical Reporter, THE CANADIAN PRESS

OTTAWA - For the director general of the World Health Organization, the best news of the decade is the fact that the first influenza pandemic of the 21st century is a moderate - some would even call it mild - one.

 

Still, that lucky break, disease-wise, has created a communications challenge for those in public health in general and the WHO in particular, Dr. Margaret Chan acknowledged Monday in an interview with The Canadian Press.

 

For years, the WHO and health officials around the world had worried about and planned for the possibility the dangerous H5N1 avian flu virus might trigger the next pandemic. (Many still worry humankind may have a future date with the so-called bird flu.)

 

Instead, two swine flu viruses swapped genes, giving rise to a new variant that started spreading among people. It was new enough to cause disease and occasionally death. But it was sufficiently similar to viruses that have spread among people in the past that its impact hasn’t been the crisis many feared.

 

(Continue . . .)

 

 

As a `serious’ blogger I accepted long ago that I’ll never be able to compete with the numbers garnered by websites that promote `wild and wacky’ conspiracy theories.   The audience for that sort of claptrap is simply greater than the audience for sensible reporting and commentary.

 

I know how a museum operator must feel in a town filled with strip joints.

 

Fred Allen, acerbic star of radio during the 1930’s and 1940’s, never really embraced the upstart medium of television (he did appear on it with some frequency, however).

 

He famously quipped that `Television is a new medium. It’s called a medium because nothing is well-done.’

 

 

The same could be said, with a few notable exceptions, for much of the Internet today.

[Crof's H5N1] India: 898 deaths

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via the Indian government’s Press Information Bureau: Consolidated status of influenza A H1N1 as on 29th December 2009. It reports 25,572 cases and 898 deaths.

[Crof's H5N1] Indonesia: Dengue should be priority

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via The Jakarta GlobeDengue Should Be Priority for Indonesia, Not Swine Flu: Lawmaker. Excerpt:

The avian and swine flu strains may have caused the most panic, but combating tuberculosis, dengue fever and malnutrition should top the Ministry of Health’s priorities for 2010, a lawmaker said on Tuesday. 

“Our government is sometimes too preoccupied in handling imported diseases such as bird flu or swine flu, they neglect the other diseases that have caused far more fatalities in Indonesia,” said Ribka Tjiptaning from the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P). 

The H1N1 swine flu scare most likely distracted health workers from dealing with outbreaks of dengue fever, which continued to be a serious threat across the country, she added. 

The ministry’s records show that from January through to July this year, there were 585 deaths from dengue from a total of 77,000 cases. The data also shows that on average, 88,000 people die of tuberculosis every year across the archipelago. 

In comparison, the bird flu virus has only claimed 119 lives throughout the country since 2003. About 1,000 people were infected by swine flu, which reportedly claimed 10 lives.

No argument: H5N1 and H1N1 have taken far fewer lives than many other diseases.

The immediate problem has been the potential of those influenzas (especially H5N1) to explode into major killers. Hence the “distraction” of healthcare workers.

The longterm problem is that outbreaks of new diseases highlight every country’s public-health strengths and weaknesses. 

Rather than simply attacking dengue or malaria and ignoring influenza, every country ought to be strengthening its healthcare infrastructure to deal with whatever comes along—and, in the process, keeping many people from falling ill in the first place.

[Crof's H5N1] Chan: May take a year to conquer H1N1 flu pandemic

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via Reuters: May take a year to conquer H1N1 flu pandemic: WHO. Excerpt:

“I think we must remain prudent and observe the evolution of the pandemic in the course of the next six to 12 months before crying victory,” WHO Director-General Margaret Chan was quoted as saying in an interview with the Geneva daily Le Temps

“It is too soon to say that we have passed the peak of the (H1N1) flu pandemic on a worldwide scale… Winter is still long,” she said. 

Chan also said the world was still not ready to combat a pandemic of the separate H5N1 bird flu virus. She fought outbreaks of the more deadly avian flu while serving as health director of Hong Kong. 

“I say it without hesitation: we are not at all ready. I really hope that the world doesn’t ever have to confront a bird flu pandemic,” she said.

[Crof's H5N1] South Korea reports increasing H1N1 cases in pigs

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via Xinhua: S Korea reports growing number of A/H1N1 infection at pig farms. Excerpt:

South Korea reported Tuesday another case of A/H1N1 infection at a local swine farm, adding to a growing list of pigs infected with the flu, local media reported.     

The latest outbreak occurred in a pig farm in Jeungup, Jeolla Province, marking the 16th confirmed case of A/H1N1 infection since mid-December when five farms reported infection for the first time in the country, according to local media.     

Authorities are suspecting pigs in the latest case might have contracted the virus through human contacts and expecting them to be naturally cured, according to media reports.

H1N1 in pigs is scarcely news any more.

[Crof's H5N1] Hong Kong: 52 deaths

Posted by Automator On December - 30 - 2009

Via Xinhua: Hong Kong reports 52nd death from influenza A/H1N1. Excerpt:

Hong Kong health authorities reported the city’s 52nd death case of the influenza A/H1N1 on Tuesday.     

The case involved an 80-year-old man suffering from diabetes, heart disease and hypertension. The patient attended the Accident and Emergency Department of a local hospital on November 26 due to shortness of breath and cough. He was confirmed to be affected with the influenza A/H1N1 the next day.     

His condition later improved and was transferred to another Hospital on December 18 and was transferred back On December 25 as his condition deteriorated again. The patient finally succumbed on December 27.