Influenza Virus Mashup

Influenza Virus Mashup

Archive for May, 2009

[Crof's H5N1] Australia: Passengers await one last H1N1 test

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

Via the Sydney Morning Herald, where it’s 2:20 a.m. on Monday: Cruisers’ fate hangs on one test. Excerpt:

The fate of more than 1700 passengers and crew aboard the cruise ship Pacific Dawn cruise ship hung in the balance last night as health authorities awaited one swine flu test result from a laboratory in Brisbane. 

Swabs taken from 10 passengers all proved negative last night, but the results of one swab, tested by Queensland authorities, were still unknown. 

“If the swab … comes back negative, everyone on board the Pacific Dawn will be able to leave the boat in the morning and return home or continue their onward travel without delay or restriction,” the NSW chief medical officer, Kerry Chant, said last night. 

But if the result was positive, all passengers would be required to wear masks and some would be ordered into quarantine. 

Swine flu has now struck in every state and territory, prompting authorities to consider moving to the next alert level, which could see mass gatherings banned, public transport restrictions and police called in to guard medical supplies. 

“If the increase in numbers continues at the rate that it has, of course an assessment will be made whether we need to move to the next phase of the disease plan,” the federal Health Minister, Nicola Roxon, said yesterday.

[Crof's H5N1] H5N1: The current (underestimated) tally

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

I should have posted this a couple of days ago when it was published: Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A/(H5N1) Reported to WHO.

As you’ll see, it’s a table going back to 2003, showing a total of 431 cases and 262 deaths, for a case fatality ratio of 60.7%. 

But look at Indonesia: last year they reported 24 cases and 20 deaths, for a CFR of 83.3%. (Their cumulative CFR is 81.5%.) And this year we see nothing. That’s because the health minister has deliberately broken the International Health Regulations and failed to report human H5N1 cases promptly, as the IHR require.

WHO can’t do anything about it, though no doubt the organization knows exactly how many Indonesians have contracted H5N1 this year. But without being officially informed, they can’t list them.

That means we have a faulty sense of the spread of H5N1 in Indonesia. We also have a very poor sense of how the government and its healthcare workers are dealing with the disease. 

It probably doesn’t matter as long as H5N1 is chiefly a rare disease of Asian and Egyptian villagers. But if it ever learned to spread efficiently from human to human, it would make the swine-flu scare look trivial. Then Indonesia’s neighbours, not to mention China, North America, and the US, would put intense pressure on Jakarta to smarten up.

Until then, H5N1 will fester in the villages of Sumatra and the sprawling suburbs of Jakarta, forgotten but far from gone.

[Crof's H5N1] Egypt: More on the latest human H5N1 case

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

Via SAIDR: Human Data:

Girl, 14 months old, began experiencing fever, runny nose and cough on May 25. She was admitted to Mansoura Chest Hospital on May 29. Infection with avian influenza was confirmed May 30. Her mother reported that the child was in close contact with her during slaughtering and defeathering of poultry. 

The child was reported in stable condition May 30; her chest X-ray was free. She was to be referred May 30 to Manshiyet El Bakry Hospital in Cairo. 

The MOH reported this was the 77th case of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Egypt.

[Crof's H5N1] Australia: A doubtful prediction

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

Via the Herald Sun, a long article on H1N1 in Victoria state: Alert level to rise. But this was the line that caught my attention:

A million Australians will get the flu this winter and up to 3000 will die.

The story gives no source for this prediction, which should have been the whole point of the report.

[Crof's H5N1] UK: Eton has 32 suspected flu cases

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

Via Metro.co.uk: ‘32 swine flu cases’ suspected at Eton. Excerpt:

Parents of pupils at Eton College are to receive a letter from health officials stating there are 32 suspected cases of swine flu at the school. 

The Berkshire school, which was attended by Princes William and Harry, said on Thursday it would close for a week after a 13-year-old pupil tested positive for the illness. 

Now the Health Protection Agency (HPA) has written to parents confirming of a further seven probable and 25 possible cases.

[Crof's H5N1] China: Tally of H1N1 cases rises to 29

Posted by Automator On May - 31 - 2009

Via Xinhua: Number of A/H1N1 flu cases on Chinese mainland rises to 29. Excerpt:

Five more A/H1N1 flu cases were confirmed on the Chinese mainland on Sunday, bringing the total number to 29.     

One new case was confirmed in Beijing, one each in Fujian and Zhejiang provinces and two in Guangdong Province.     

The latest confirmed patient in Guangdong — a 22-year-old beautician surnamed Xue who works at a wedding photography studio in Guangzhou, the provincial capital– became the second case of local transmission on the mainland.     

She had close contact with a 28-year-old Chinese-American man surnamed Li, who developed a sore throat on May 24 after he flew from New York to Guangzhou, via Incheon City in the Republic of Korea. 

On Monday and Tuesday, he and his girlfriend spent two days with studio workers, including the beautician, taking bridal photos.

By Bloomberg News
Last Updated: May 31, 2009 04:14 EDT

May 31 (Bloomberg) — China has confirmed as many as 26 swine flu infections on the mainland, according to health authorities and the official Xinhua News Agency.

South China’s Guangdong province and southeastern Fujian province each reported a new case today, after two were identified in Beijing and one in Fujian yesterday. That brings the number of individual confirmations to 26, although the government did not give a nationwide total on its Web site.

The female patient in Guangdong, a 23-year-old Chinese- Venezuelan, is a college student. She flew from Venezuela on May 25 to Guangzhou city via Paris. Her relative drove her to Foshan city before she showed symptoms of the illness and went to the hospital on May 29, according to the Guangdong health bureau’s statement.

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The Associated Press , Singapore and Bangkok
Sun, 05/31/2009 3:28 PM

Singaporean and Thai health officials have confirmed their fifth and fourth swine flu cases, respectively.

The Singaporean ministry said in a statement Sunday that a 22-year-old local woman tested positive for the disease Saturday after flying back from New York. It says her symptoms are mild and she is in stable condition.

The statement says Singaporean authorities are trying to locate passengers seated near her on an All Nippon Airlines flight from Tokyo to Singapore. They will be asked to self-quarantine.

It was unclear if Japanese authorities were trying to contact passengers on her flight from New York to Tokyo.

In Bangkok, a Thai health official says a man who returned from a trip to the United States has become the fourth person in Thailand to test positive for swine flu.

D. Paichit Warachit of the Public Health Ministry said Sunday the man received early treatment after his return May 25 and has recovered.

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The number of Australians diagnosed with swine flu has risen to 303.

Cases have been diagnosed in every state and territory, with the majority 212 in Victoria and 57 in New South Wales.

Schools have been closed in several states, as a way of minimising the impact on communties where people have come down with swine flu.

Health Minister, Nicola Roxon, says work has to continue to reduce the spread of the disease.

She says, “The aim is to make sure that we delay that for as long as possible in order to be able to ensure that when the disease really does attack the broadest number in the community that we are closer to the date of having a vaccine produced.”

She says “That way we can make sure that we can protect those that are most likely to be particularly vulnerable to the harder edge of this disease.”

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A further 32 suspected cases of swine flu among pupils at Eton College have been reported to health officials.

The public school announced on Thursday it would close for a week after a 13-year-old pupil tested positive.

The Health Protection Agency (HPA) has written to parents warning of a further seven probable and 25 possible cases.

The Berkshire boys’ school, which was attended by Princes William and Harry, was advised to shut for an extra week after half-term until 7 June.

‘Widespread transmission’

The HPA said of the suspected 32 new cases that students were experiencing “mild illness”.

In a letter to parents the agency said: “It is highly likely that these will be positive for Swine Influenza.

“Because it is now clear that there is widespread transmission in the school, the HPA has decided to offer antiviral [medication] for all the students and staff at the school.

“The purpose of this is to minimise the likelihood of further spread of the virus to students and the families not already affected.”

Boys taking public examinations at Eton are being allowed to return to do so under controlled conditions.

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